The Fantasy 32 analyzes the NFL from a fantasy perspective, with no less than one point out of every of the league’s 32 groups. Though effectivity will likely be mentioned lots, the column will lean closely on utilization knowledge, as quantity is king (by far) in fantasy soccer. Use these tidbits to make one of the best waiver-wire, commerce and lineup choices for the upcoming week and past. Be positive to examine again every week of the season for a brand new model of the Fantasy 32.
Note that knowledge from Monday Night Football may not instantly be mirrored in charts.
Throughout the beneath team-by-team rundowns, I’ll be referencing “OFP” and “OTD.” OFP stands for opportunity-adjusted fantasy factors. Imagine a league during which gamers are created equal. OFP is a statistic that weighs each move/carry/goal and converts the info into one quantity that signifies a participant’s alternative to attain fantasy factors, or his “expected” fantasy level whole. For instance, if a participant has an OFP of 14.5, it signifies that a league-average participant who noticed the identical workload in the identical location on the sphere would have scored 14.5 fantasy factors. FORP is the distinction between a participant’s precise fantasy level whole and his OFP. OTD works the identical method, besides as a substitute of fantasy factors, it is touchdowns. Volume is king in fantasy soccer, so this isn’t data you need to overlook.
That mentioned, right here is the post-Week 6 OFP Leaderboard:
Week 6 OFP Leaderboard
|1. Carson Wentz, QB||29||32||-2|
|2. DJ Chark Jr., WR||12||28||-16|
|3. Gardner Minshew II, QB||18||26||-8|
|4. David Johnson, RB||14||26||-12|
|5. Teddy Bridgewater, QB||9||24||-15|
|6. David Montgomery, RB||14||24||-11|
|7. Deshaun Watson, QB||32||23||9|
|8. Ronald Jones II, RB||26||22||4|
|9. Travis Fulgham, WR||20||21||-2|
|10. D’Andre Swift, RB||27||21||7|
*Complete OTD and OFP positional leaderboards will likely be posted on ESPN+ this week.
Next, listed here are the gamers who exceeded their OFP by the biggest margin this previous week and are thus candidates to see a dip in fantasy manufacturing shifting ahead, assuming they see an identical workload:
Exceeded their OFP by the biggest margin in Week 6
|1. Derrick Henry, RB||40||19||21|
|2. Justin Jefferson, WR||40||19||21|
|3. Matt Ryan, QB||32||16||16|
|4. Lamar Jackson, QB||28||13||16|
|5. Julio Jones, WR||34||19||15|
|6. Hayden Hurst, TE||16||6||10|
|7. Jimmy Garoppolo, QB||24||14||10|
|8. Deshaun Watson, QB||32||23||9|
|9. Ryan Tannehill, QB||29||19||9|
|10. George Kittle, TE||24||15||8|
And these gamers fell in need of their OFP by the biggest margin final week, and thus you should not be too fast to overreact to their efficiency when making lineup, commerce or waiver choices:
Fell in need of their OFP by the biggest margin in Week 6
|1. Drew Lock, QB||3||20||-17|
|2. DJ Chark Jr., WR||12||28||-16|
|3. Teddy Bridgewater, QB||9||24||-15|
|4. David Johnson, RB||14||26||-12|
|5. Albert Okwuegbunam, TE||7||18||-11|
|6. Cooper Kupp, WR||4||15||-11|
|7. David Montgomery, RB||14||24||-11|
|8. Boston Scott, RB||3||13||-10|
|9. Zach Ertz, TE||7||16||-9|
|10. Aaron Rodgers, QB||4||13||-9|
Arizona Cardinals: Has the Kenyan Drake we knew and cherished final season — after which once more throughout 2020 draft season — lastly returned? It’s doable after Arizona’s lead again went for 164 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 20 carries in opposition to Dallas’ imploding protection on Monday Night Football. Drake performed on a wholesome 70% of the Cardinals’ offensive snaps, which is an efficient signal. However, he was as soon as once more a nonfactor as a receiver with zero catches on two targets. Drake is as much as No. 19 in RB fantasy factors, however Monday marked his first weekly end higher than 17th. Barring a major increase in targets, he is prone to proceed producing borderline RB2 numbers — however no higher.
Atlanta Falcons: I believe it is secure to say Julio Jones is again. The 31-year-old celebrity missed all however 15 snaps throughout Atlanta’s earlier three video games however exploded again onto the fantasy scene with an 8-137-2 receiving line on 10 targets in opposition to Minnesota on Sunday. Jones has now performed three full video games this season, and two resulted in 10-plus targets and 25-plus fantasy factors. Jones, who led Atlanta’s vast receivers with 64 snaps on Sunday, is a top-30 fantasy receiver regardless of all of the missed motion. He, in fact, stays a stable WR1 and has an incredible matchup in opposition to Detroit in Week 7.
Baltimore Ravens: Mark Ingram II left Sunday’s sport in opposition to the Eagles with an ankle damage after 9 snaps. In his place, Gus Edwards performed 30 snaps (45%) and rookie J.Okay. Dobbins performed 27. Edwards additionally paced the unit with 14 carries however was held to solely 26 yards, in comparison with 9 carries for 28 yards for Dobbins. Edwards wasn’t focused, and Dobbins was held to 1 yard on 4 targets. If Ingram misses time (which is much from a lock with Baltimore headed to its bye), we will depend on, no less than, a two-headed assault with Edwards and Dobbins, although Justice Hill might additionally see a number of passing-down snaps. Considering Baltimore’s operating backs rank 22nd in fantasy factors and 29th in targets this season, this is not a very attractive state of affairs, however Dobbins can be one of the best flex choice in that state of affairs.
Buffalo Bills: Zack Moss lastly returned from damage on Monday night time, however the rookie was all however a nonfactor in opposition to the Chiefs. Moss performed on simply 13 of 50 (26%) of Buffalo’s offensive snaps, which was effectively behind the 37 snaps performed by Devin Singletary. Singletary did not do a lot both, with 10 carries for 32 yards and 13 extra yards on a pair of targets. Moss accrued a mere 10 yards on 5 carries and wasn’t focused in any respect. Singletary flashed a bit earlier within the season, however has struggled to achieve 78 yards on 23 touches (with no TDs) throughout Buffalo’s final three video games. Moss, who had performed on a beneficiant 44% of the Bills’ snaps through the first two weeks of the season, solely figures to see extra work because the season progresses. He stays worthy of a bench spot in 12-team leagues.
Carolina Panthers: Teddy Bridgewater ran the ball eight instances for 48 yards on Sunday, each of that are new career-high marks. The speeding manufacturing helped offset a tough passing day (216 yards, Zero TDs, 2 INTs) to some extent, although Bridgewater completed 15th or worse on the place in fantasy factors for the fourth time in six video games. Bridgewater has up to now been about as matchup dependent as they arrive, posting duds in opposition to good Buccaneers, Chargers and Bears defenses, however proving serviceable in opposition to the Raiders, Cardinals and Falcons. He has just one weekly end higher than 12th to his title, so there’s clearly not a lot upside right here, however maybe that may change if he retains operating the ball as typically as he did Sunday. For now, Bridgewater is greatest considered as a mid-range QB2 and occasional streaming choice.
Chicago Bears: Remember Anthony Miller? Yeah, me neither. A preferred breakout candidate in each his second (2019) and third (2020) NFL seasons, Miller has plummeted off the fantasy radar. The 2018 second-round choose is averaging 4.Three targets per sport, and that features a Week 6 efficiency during which he caught all three of his targets for Eight yards. Miller discovered the tip zone in Weeks 1 and three, however he hasn’t cleared 41 yards in a sport since Week 1 and has posted two weekly finishes higher than 60th. Miller, who has performed 53% of the offensive snaps this season, clearly doesn’t should be on rosters.
Cincinnati Bengals: Is A.J. Green again? It positive appeared love it Sunday when the 32-year-old put up an 8-96-Zero receiving line on 11 targets whereas taking part in a season-high 80% of the snaps in opposition to a very good Colts protection. Green entered the week with a complete of 119 yards on 14 catches in 5 video games, however heavy quantity (34 targets) recommended higher days have been forward. There are a number of mouths to feed within the Bengals’ offense, particularly after rookie Tee Higgins had one other robust day Sunday, however Green’s utilization in a Bengals offense that has tried a league-high 246 passes is sufficient to maintain him within the WR3/flex dialogue. The Bengals’ wideouts are arrange with a very good Week 7 matchup in opposition to a Browns’ protection that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy factors to vast receivers this season.
Cleveland Browns: Austin Hooper caught 5 of six targets for 52 yards in opposition to the Steelers on Sunday. Hooper has both 50-plus receiving yards or a landing in three consecutive video games, which has labored out to double-digit fantasy factors every week. Hooper, who has no less than six targets and precisely 5 catches through the span, is as much as fifth at tight finish in receptions for the season and sits fifth in fantasy factors since Week 4. He’s a fringe TE1.
Dallas Cowboys: Andy Dalton’s first begin with Dallas didn’t go effectively. The longtime Bengals starter accomplished 34 of 54 passes for 266 yards, one landing and two interceptions. Those numbers would have been considerably worse if not for garbage-time manufacturing. For what it is value, Dalton’s goal distribution was as follows: Ezekiel Elliott (11), Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb (10), Michael Gallup (6), Dalton Schultz (5) and everybody else (10). Based on what we noticed on Monday, Elliott and Cooper stay lineup locks, Lamb is a flex, Schultz is a TE2 and Gallup is barely value a roster spot. Things could not get significantly better in Week 7 in opposition to a Washington protection permitting the fewest WR fantasy factors this season.
Denver Broncos: With Melvin Gordon III sidelined on Sunday, Phillip Lindsay was on the sphere for 40 (64%) offensive snaps. Royce Freeman (24 snaps) was the one different Denver again to see the sphere. With Denver defending a stunning lead in New England, Lindsay was capable of accrue 23 carries for 101 yards however wasn’t focused. Freeman was held to 30 yards on 9 touches. Should Gordon return subsequent week, he’ll stay a fringe RB2 with Lindsay a bench choice. If Gordon sits, Lindsay will likely be an RB2 play in opposition to the Chiefs.
Detroit Lions: We spent the previous two weeks questioning if rookie D’Andre Swift would play a bigger function following the Lions’ Week 5 bye. The reply? Kind of. Swift actually had his most efficient sport with 14 carries for 116 yards and two touchdowns, including three catches for 7 yards on 4 targets. His receiving function wasn’t a lot totally different than what we noticed throughout Weeks 1-4, however there was an apparent uptick in speeding work, because the second-round choose entered the day with a complete of 12 carries for 42 yards for the season. That’s all good and effectively, however the issue is that Swift was restricted to solely 37% of the snaps. That’s solely his third-highest charge of the season and was simply behind Adrian Peterson (39%). Detroit led all through the sport, which offered a very good sport script for Peterson, so it’s extremely doable Swift will play extra in shut video games shifting ahead. Swift is not but a secure weekly begin, however he is actually as much as fringe RB2 territory in PPR.
Green Bay Packers: Davante Adams has performed two full video games this season. In Week 1, he put up a 14-156-2 receiving line on 17 targets. On Sunday, he produced a 6-61-Zero line on 10 targets within the blowout loss to Tampa Bay. Adams has a ridiculous 38% goal share throughout his two full video games this season and has seen double-digit targets in 11 of his previous 13 full video games, which incorporates every of his previous seven. It’s apparent you need to at all times be beginning Adams, however it is a reminder that he very effectively is perhaps the highest vast receiver in fantasy soccer shifting ahead. He’ll see the Bradley Roby shadow in opposition to Houston in Week 7.
Houston Texans: Randall Cobb scored his second landing of the season on Sunday, however Houston’s slot man was in any other case nonexistent with solely three catches for 17 yards on 4 targets. That aligns fairly effectively with Cobb’s season to this point, as he had a robust 4-95-1 receiving line in Week Three however has in any other case been held to 15 catches for 165 yards. He’s averaging 4.7 targets per sport and hasn’t cleared six in a single sport. Cobb and his 6.7 aDOT don’t make for a very good flex choice besides within the deepest of leagues.
Indianapolis Colts: Trey Burton opened the 2020 season on injured reserve, however the veteran tight finish has shortly emerged because the Colts’ high pass-catcher on the place. Burton has been focused no less than 5 instances in all three video games since his return and had his greatest effort Sunday with a 4-58-1 receiving line, in addition to a 1-yard speeding landing. Burton hasn’t operated as an every-down participant and his 12% goal share on Sunday will not minimize it shifting ahead, however he did play a season-high 57% of the snaps. Burton’s utilization, mixed with Frank Reich and Phillip Rivers’ affection for tight ends, is sufficient to make him worthy of a bench spot, however he’ll be best-valued as a TE2 as soon as the Colts return from their Week 7 bye.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keelan Cole Sr. went off for six catches and 143 yards on 9 targets in opposition to the Lions on Sunday. The massive day marks Cole’s highest yardage whole since 2017 and his highest goal whole since 2018. Cole has performed 74% of the offensive snaps and is now averaging 6.Three targets per sport this season. He hadn’t cleared 58 yards in a sport previous to Week 6, however he did have three touchdowns throughout his first 5 video games. Jacksonville’s offense is struggling, however Cole is nonetheless as much as 20th in fantasy factors amongst vast receivers. He’s seeing sufficient work to permit flex manufacturing in 12-team leagues.
Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs have been with out Sammy Watkins on Monday night time, which opened the door for Demarcus Robinson to step in and outpace the crew’s WR room with 69 snaps (95%). Mecole Hardman (29 snaps), Byron Pringle (28) and Marcus Kemp (2) have been considerably much less concerned behind Robinson and Tyreek Hill (67). The heavy utilization allowed Robinson to submit a stable 5-69-Zero receiving line on six targets, the latter of which trailed solely Travis Kelce (7) for the crew lead. Watkins is anticipated to overlook extra time, so Robinson will likely be on the flex radar in 12-team leagues. Hardman was restricted to a single goal and positively has upside for massive video games going ahead. That mentioned, for now, he’s a dangerous dart-throw flex candidate.
Las Vegas Raiders: Prior to Las Vegas’ Week 5 bye, Josh Jacobs sat sixth at operating again in fantasy factors, which was powered by a pair of top-five weeks. Jacobs entered the break main the NFL with 106 carries, whereas additionally sitting second in speeding yards, second in speeding touchdowns and first in touches. Jacobs’ heavy speeding quantity is not any shock, however he has additionally ramped up his receiving work, operating a route on 43% of Las Vegas’ move performs whereas seeing a lift from 2.1 targets per sport in 2019 to 4.Zero per sport this season. Jacobs speeding effectivity has dropped off in comparison with his rookie season, however there isn’t any purpose to imagine he’ll see much less quantity after the bye. Jacobs is an authorized weekly RB1.
Los Angeles Chargers: The bye week got here at an ideal time for Keenan Allen, who left the crew’s Week 5 sport with a again damage after solely 12 snaps. Allen was restricted to 2 targets within the sport however had beforehand been force-fed the ball by rookie Justin Herbert in three full video games collectively. Allen totaled 40 targets through the outings, together with no less than 10 in every. That works out to a 39% goal and 44% air yard share, each of which might simply be profession highs for the 28-year-old. Even with the Week 5 dud, Allen entered the bye week ranked fifth amongst vast receivers in targets, sixth in yardage and eighth in finish zone targets. He’s a WR1 choice shifting ahead, and that is particularly the case in opposition to the Jaguars this weekend.
Los Angeles Rams: Cooper Kupp was held to 3 catches for 11 yards in opposition to the 49ers’ on Sunday night time. Despite the dud, there’s small purpose for concern. Kupp was focused eight instances within the sport and leads the Rams’ with 44 on the season (Robert Woods is subsequent with 42, and nobody else has greater than 21). Kupp’s quiet day comes after 4 consecutive video games with no less than 12 fantasy factors, 5 catches and 66 receiving yards. Kupp sits 23rd amongst vast receivers in fantasy factors and stays on observe for a fringe WR2 marketing campaign.
Miami Dolphins: With six video games within the guide, calling Mike Gesicki growth/bust can be a serious understatement. The third-year tight finish has produced 91-plus receiving yards in two video games, however he has didn’t clear 30 yards throughout his different 4 outings. In reality, Gesicki totaled 13 catches, 221 yards and 1 TD on 17 targets in opposition to the Bills and 49ers, however has 5 catches for 60 yards and 1 TD on 13 targets in his different 4 video games. That features a zero-catch effort on two targets in opposition to the exploitable Jets on Sunday. Gesicki is a de facto vast receiver (he is aligned at vast receiver on 93% of his routes) and nonetheless performed 66% of the offensive snaps on Sunday, so higher days are forward. Fantasy’s No. 10-scoring tight finish will likely be a fringe TE1 when Miami returns from its Week 7 bye.
Minnesota Vikings: Alexander Mattison was arrange for an enormous workload with Dalvin Cook sidelined in Week 6. Instead, Minnesota instantly fell behind by double-digits and, in fact, deserted the run. Mattison ended the sport with 26 yards on 10 carries and Four yards on two targets. The spectacular second-year again was restricted to 23 snaps (46%), in comparison with 14 for passing-down specialist Ameer Abdullah and 5 for Mike Boone. Minnesota is headed to its bye week and Cook is anticipated again in Week 8, so Mattison shouldn’t be a participant who you may plan on beginning anytime quickly. His solely worth is as an elite handcuff, which stays true even after Sunday’s dud.
New England Patriots: Julian Edelman’s season began effectively with 80 yards on six touches in Week 1 adopted by an 8-179-Zero receiving line in opposition to Seattle in Week 2. It has been a battle since, with Edelman posting receiving traces of 2-23-0, 3-35-Zero and, most not too long ago, 2-8-0. Edelman was focused precisely six instances in these three video games and has but to attain a landing this season. Fantasy’s No. 48-scoring vast receiver made his hay on heavy quantity through the Tom Brady period, however which may proceed to elude him in what’s the league’s run-heaviest scheme with Cam Newton. Edelman will likely be not more than a flex flier in opposition to the 49ers in Week 7.
New Orleans Saints: Jared Cook entered New Orleans’ Week 6 bye ranked 17th at tight finish in fantasy factors. Of course, that is a bit deceptive as a result of the veteran tight finish missed half of Week Three and all of Week Four as a result of damage. In three full video games, Cook produced a pair of top-10 fantasy weeks and put up 9.Three factors within the different outing. Cook has been a top-seven fantasy tight finish in every of the previous two seasons, which features a nine-touchdown effort final season (he already has two scores in 2020). Cook stays an underrated fringe TE1 choice.
New York Giants: The Giants have been with out Sterling Shepard once more and misplaced C.J. Board to damage after 10 snaps on Sunday. Despite that reality, Golden Tate performed solely 63% of the offensive snaps, which trailed Darius Slayton (85%) and an undrafted rookie making his NFL debut, Austin Mack (74%). Tate’s snaps are trending down the previous two weeks, and he set his season excessive in receiving yardage in Week 2 (47) and his season excessive in targets in Week 3 (seven). Tate, who’s now 32 years previous, hasn’t scored a landing this season and is outdoors the top-80 vast receivers in fantasy factors. He’s going to see even much less work with Shepard due again subsequent week and may, in fact, be left on waivers.
New York Jets: In their first sport after releasing Le’Veon Bell, the Jets turned to La’Mical Perine as their lead again. The fourth-round rookie performed 39 snaps (57%), in comparison with 25 for Frank Gore and 4 for Ty Johnson. Perine did not produce a lot within the shutout, managing 36 yards on 9 touches. Gore was higher, with 46 yards on 11 carries and 24 yards on 4 targets, and Johnson flashed with 42 yards on three carries. Gore’s passing-game manufacturing is notable because it’s essentially the most targets he has seen in a sport since 2017 and his highest yardage whole since 2018. Despite the first rate day for Gore, Perine stays the extra dynamic participant and is one of the best bench stash. We might need simply seen Gore’s greatest efficiency of the season, so he is not more than a low-ceiling flex in very deep leagues.
Philadelphia Eagles: Miles Sanders left Sunday’s loss to Baltimore with a leg damage after 27 snaps (42%). The operating again distribution behind him wasn’t shut, with Boston Scott taking part in 31 snaps, Corey Clement 5 snaps and Jason Huntley zero. Scott was held to 9 yards on 4 touches within the sport, however we noticed him produce 54 yards on 11 touches earlier than leaving with an damage of his personal rather than Sanders again in Week 1. Sanders shouldn’t be anticipated to play Thursday night time, so Scott will likely be a borderline top-20 RB play in opposition to the Giants, with Clement a poor flex choice.
Pittsburgh Steelers: What to do with JuJu Smith-Schuster? Pittsburgh’s 23-year-old slot receiver exploded for a 6-69-2 receiving line on six targets again in Week 1, however he hasn’t cleared 48 yards in 4 video games since, scoring one landing throughout that span. Smith-Schuster’s stoop hit a brand new low with 6 yards on 4 targets in opposition to Cleveland on Sunday. With Diontae Johnson nearing a return, it is truthful to marvel if Smith-Schuster’s 18% goal share (highest on crew) and 12% air yard share (fifth) might shrink even decrease, particularly with rookie Chase Claypool forcing his method right into a key function. Smith-Schuster has plummeted to flex territory, however there’s room for a rebound in one of many league’s high offenses.
San Francisco 49ers: After taking part in a restricted function in his return from damage in Week 4, Deebo Samuel has performed 85% of the snaps and is dealing with a 21% goal share through the 49ers’ previous two video games. Samuel had his greatest sport of the season in Week 6, racking up six catches for 66 yards and one landing on six targets. An enhance in air yards can be splendid (his aDOT is all the way down to 4.1 from 7.7 final season), however six-plus touches per sport will likely be sufficient to maintain Samuel within the weekly WR3 dialogue.
Seattle Seahawks: Through Week 5, the Seahawks had known as a move on 67% of their offensive snaps, in comparison with an anticipated charge of 59% (primarily based on sport state of affairs). That 8% hole was highest within the NFL, which signifies that, sure, a Seattle crew notorious for operating the ball is now working the league’s pass-heaviest offense. The heavy passing quantity helped Russell Wilson to essentially the most fantasy factors amongst quarterbacks, Chris Carson to the fifth most at operating again and DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to top-10 standing at vast receiver. Unlikely to make any important changes after a 5-Zero begin, Seattle exits its Week 6 bye with 4 gamers who ought to be locked into lineups in all codecs.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rob Gronkowski had his first massive sport with Tampa Bay on Sunday, setting new season highs in targets (eight), yardage (78) and touchdowns (one). After totaling 11 yards on 4 targets throughout his first two video games with the crew, Gronkowski has now reached 48 yards in three of his previous 4 outings, totaling 24 targets through the span (6.Zero per sport). Gronkowski performed 84% of the snaps Sunday, which aligned together with his 81% charge getting into the sport and was effectively forward of Cameron Brate (37%) and Tanner Hudson (13%). Gronkowski now has one top-10 fantasy week to his title this season, so whereas he is trending up and might be added to rosters, he isn’t but a secure begin in most codecs.
Tennessee Titans: Anthony Firkser took benefit of a Jonnu Smith damage Sunday and exploded for an 8-113-1 receiving line on 9 targets. Firkser entered the week having by no means cleared 5 targets, 4 receptions or 52 yards in a single sport and had two profession touchdowns to his title. Firkser usually performs round 30% of the snaps (he was at 56% on Sunday, which trailed Geoff Swaim’s 64%), so he will not even be an attractive tight finish starter if Smith misses time.
Washington Football Team: Terry McLaurin had a troublesome matchup in opposition to James Bradberry on Sunday, however the second-year receiver was capable of put collectively a stable 7-74-Zero receiving line on 12 targets. McLaurin entered the sport off a dud in opposition to the Rams in Week 5 however has in any other case had a really excessive ground this season. McLaurin has been focused no less than seven instances in all six video games, together with double-digits 3 times. He has reached 61 receiving yards in all however one sport. McLaurin is struggling to search out the tip zone (one TD) in Washington’s weak offense, however he nonetheless sits 12th amongst vast receivers in fantasy factors. Consider Mclaurin a robust weekly WR2 choice.